Why did Edwin Holmes not see the outburst before November 7th?

Full Moon was on November 4th 1892. The Moon would have been close to Andromeda in the sky and made both deep sky observing and even the naked eye detection of a 4th magnitude comet difficult or impossible.

 

This is the situation in the sky the day when the 1892 outburst of 17P/Holmes presumably started. On 1892 November 2 the 95% illuminated Moon was in Pisces, only about 30% from the comet, which was then close to M31. Although a 4th magnitude star would be detectable, if its position was known in advance, the 4th magnitude Comet Holmes would have been totally hidden from view and no one would have chosen to observe the nearby M31 in these conditions. Note that even with the Moon no longer visible at the start of the night the discovery was telescopic, not visual.

 


 
On November 6th, 4 days after outburst, the still almost full Moon was above the horizon soon after twilight ended. The image shows the position of the Moon at 19:00UT on November 6th, well above the eastern horizon.

 

 


 
However, on November 7th, there was a short dark period at the start of the night. This image shows the Moon at 18:45UT, just after it had risen. This was the first night for a week and a half that observation of M31 would have been practical during the evening.